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Home Various topics Economic evaluation Basic concepts Basic concepts

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Basic concepts

Benefits

Section 2.3 of the Economic evaluation manual - Volume 1 2008 (PDF 263 KB) discusses the basic concepts underlying the evaluation of benefits, including:

  • Types of benefits
  • Assignment of benefit value
  • Level of data collection and analysis
  • Primary benefits
  • Secondary benefits
  • Combined benefit values
  • National strategic factors
  • Economies of scale
  • Business benefits
  • Double counting of benefits
  • Dis-benefits during implementation/construction
  • Equity impacts

External impacts

External impacts are benefits or dis-benefits stemming from a project that do not reside with the government agencies, approved organisation or transport users. Because cost benefit analysis takes the national viewpoint, external impacts must also be considered. Section 2.4 of the Economic evaluation manual - Volume 1 2008 (PDF 263 KB) discusses external impacts.

  • Environmental impacts
  • Quantifying and valuing external impacts
  • Mitigation of external impacts
  • Transferred external impacts

Costs

Project costs

The costs taken into account in an economic efficiency evaluation depend on the type of project being evaluated.

  • Costs of road projects  (EEM1, 3.6)
  • Costs of demand management projects (EEM2, 3.7)
  • Costs of transport services
    • to the service provider (EEM2, 6.2)
    • to the government (EEM2, 7.7)

Sunk costs

When expenditure has already been incurred a decision needs to be made as to whether to include it in the economic efficiency evaluation or not.  (EEM1, 2.5)

Present value and discounting

The community places a higher value on benefits and costs that occur in the near future, compared with those that occur at a later date. Thus it is not possible to directly combine amounts occurring at different times.

Section 2.6 of the Economic evaluation manual - Volume 1 2008 (PDF 263 KB) discusses present value and discounting, covering:

  • An example
  • Treatment in cost benefit analysis
  • Present value
  • Discount rate (now 8 % per annum)
  • Use of discount factors
  • Inflation

Related information

  • Discounting and present worth factors (A1.5 + A1.6)
  • How to apply discount factors (A1.1 to A1.4)

Time frame

Section 2.7 of the Economic evaluation manual - Volume 1 2008 (PDF 263 KB) discusses time frame, covering:

  • Time zero (2.7)
  • Base date for costs and benefits (2.7)
  • Analysis period (2.7)
    • Road projects (EEM1, 3.7)
    • Transport demand management (EEM2 3.9)
    • Transport services (EEM2 5.8)
    • Education, promotion and marketing (EEM2 9.5)
    • Private sector financing and road tolling (EEM2 11.8)

Related information

  • Update factors for construction and maintenance costs (A12.2)
  • Update factors for benefits (A12.3)
  • Target incremental BCR (A12.4)

Do minimum and benefit and cost differentials

Section 2.8 of the Economic evaluation manual - Volume 1 2008 (PDF 263 KB) covers:

  • The do minimum
  • Future costs in the do minimum
  • Benefit and cost differentials

Benefit cost ratios

The benefit cost ratio (BCR) of a project is the present value (PV) of net benefits divided by the PV of net costs. A project is regarded as economic or worthy of execution if the PV of its benefits is greater than the PV of its costs, i.e., a project is economic if the BCR is greater than 1.0.

Section 2.8 of the Economic evaluation manual - Volume 1 2008 (PDF 263 KB) covers:

  • National benefit cost ratio
  • Government benefit cost ratio
  • BCR rounding

Incremental cost benefit analysis

Where project alternatives and options are mutually exclusive, incremental cost benefit analysis of the alternatives and options shall be used to identify the optimal economic solution.

Section 2.10 of the Economic evaluation manual - Volume 1 2008 (PDF 263 KB) discusses incremental cost benefit analysis, covering:

  • Definition
  • An example that illustrates the concepts
  • Procedure for calculating incremental BCR
  • Target incremental BCR
  • Sensitivity testing of incremental analysis
  • An example of incremental analysis

Uncertainty and risk

The forecasting of future costs and benefits always involves some degree of uncertainty, and in some situations the resulting measures of economic efficiency (the BCR and FYRR) may be particularly sensitive to assumptions or predictions inherent in the analysis.

Assessing the sensitivity of evaluations to critical assumptions or estimates shall be undertaken using either a sensitivity analysis or risk analysis, or both, as appropriate.

The uncertainty described here is not directly comparable to assessing the uncertainty as part of Land Transport NZs funding allocation process, which focuses on the confidence in the proposed project (or package) delivering the desired outcomes.

Section 2.12 of the Economic evaluation manual - Volume 1 2008 (PDF 263 KB) covers:

  • Types of uncertainty
  • Sensitivity analysis
  • Risk analysis
  • Choosing the appropriate analysis
  • Methods for sensitivity and risk analyses

Alternatives and options

Section 2.13 of the Economic evaluation manual - Volume 1 2008 (PDF 263 KB) discusses alternatives and options, covering:

  • Need to consider alternatives and options
  • Mutually exclusive alternatives and options
  • Independent stages
  • Features to mitigate external impacts

Related information

  • Incremental cost benefit analysis

Packages

Packages are groups of interrelated and complementary activities that may be proposed by one or more approved organisation(s). The purpose of packaging is to achieve the synergy possible from integrating complementary transport projects.

Section 2.43 of the Economic evaluation manual - Volume 1 2008 (PDF 263 KB) covers:

  • Introduction
  • Types of packages
  • Evaluation of packages

Related information

  • Planning, programming and funding manual - Chapter G3 Assessment of packages
  • Procedures for evaluating packages of road projects only (186 KB) (EEM1, Chapter 3)
  • Procedures for evaluating packages of TDM strategies only (EEM2 Chapter 3)
  • Procedures for evaluating packaages that combine TDM strategies and road projects (EEM2 Chapter 3)

Transport models

Transportation models are sometimes used to generate demand forecasts and assign traffic to transportation networks. When models are used for this purpose, documentation should be provided to demonstrate that the models have been correctly specified and produce realistic results.

Section 2.15 of the Economic evaluation manual - Volume 1 2008 (PDF 263 KB) covers:

  • Validation of transport models
  • Checks on output from traffic models
    • Coarse checks
    • Detailed checks
  • Evaluating congested networks and induced traffic effects

Related information

  • Worksheet 8.1 (75 KB) - Coarse check on transportation model outputs
  • Worksheet 8.2 (298 KB) - Detailed check on transportation model outputs
  • Worksheet 8.3 (92 KB) - Project model specification checklist
  • Appendix 11 (266 KB) - Congested networks and induced traffic

Other inputs to funding allocation process

Economic efficiency is only one of 3 assessment factors considered in Land Transport NZ's funding allocation process.

Section 2.16 of the Economic evaluation manual - Volume 1 - 2008 (PDF 263 KB) provides some advice on the New Zealand Transport Strategy objectives to minimise double counting of benefits.

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